The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. It's a win-win, really. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. However, there are reasons for why it turned out as it did. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. LAA Los Angeles Angels. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. Four teams won at least 100 in 2019. March 30, 2022. USA TODAY. Close. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. But how does the model see it shaking out? Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . The offense is stacked with names like Luis Robert, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. 3. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. Edward Sutelan is a content producer at The Sporting News. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. Adley Rutschman and Grayson Rodriguez aren't far away from reaching the majors, and bats like Cedric Mullins, Trey Mancini and Ryan Mountcastle have already proven they can mash in the big leagues. By Dom Luszczyszyn. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. AL EAST. For now, with everyone healthy, this looks like a Wild Card team that doesnt reach the ALDS. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? That doesn't mean anyone should sleep on New York. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. Scorched. Instead, they missed the playoffs. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening . This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . 2023 Playoff Odds, . Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. The bullpen lost Jansen, but added Craig Kimbrel to go along with Blake Treinen and Brusdar Graterol. It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. It's been more than a decade since the Phillies made the playoffs but with Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber on board, this may be the best all-around team they've put together in recent years Credit to the Marlins for spending some money on Avisail Garcia ($53 million) and Jorge Soler ($36 million). Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? October 6th, 2022. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. MLB Spring Training Standings 2023. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. Bostons bullpen isnt among the best in the American League and its starting rotation lacks quality depth, especially with Chris Sale on IL. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G . Even after losing Carlos Rodon, the rotation is still be one of the game's best with Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease at the front. Losing Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays and Buster Posey (retirement) are two huge blows, leaving voids that cant be filled directly. Maybe. Now that the season is over, the parade is done, and the dust has settled it is time to start looking at the 2022 season. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). Replacing set-up man Craig Kimbrel with outfielder A.J. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. CHW Chicago White Sox. The model has them in third in the AL East, but it would surprise no one to see them win the division. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. MLB. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. And during the postseason, that anything-can-happen dynamic only grows stronger, with MLB's new, expanded format only increasing the number of potential outcomes. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. MLB Baseball Standings Projections on TeamRankings.com. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. Christian Yelich can only get better after . Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section, register for a free account . The rotation will get a boost from the return of Mike Clevinger and the trade acquisition of Manaea. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. Tampa Bay Rays Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 2. Way Too Early MLB 2022 National League Standings Predictions. Do I sound hopeful? By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. We also like Clevelands pitching. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. 2 spot. If it's the 2022-23 Premier League table you're after, you've come to the right place. The Red Soxsurprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. Major League Leaders . Well give credit to the Chicago Cubs for not tearing everything down and beginning a total rebuild. Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. TEX Texas Rangers. Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Baseball-Reference.com. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. Key player: Luis Robert. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. Cactus League. This doesn't necessarily mean they'll win the World Series and a surprisingly disappointing season is always possible. Joey Votto continues to produce at a star talent, but heading into his age 38 campaign, the model expects some regression to take a toll. 5 min read. All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. Newcastle United vs Manchester City. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. Find the best projected stats of the 2023 MLB season and build the best Fantasy Baseball team. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: This team is largely the same one that went on a 17-game winning streak at the end of the season to blaze past the Reds, Phillies and Padres to capture the second wild-card and sneak into the playoffs. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. Sticky standings Sticky standings. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. The biggest thing we like about the Rays is their wealth of pitching, a crucial factor in a season where arms will be tested more than ever. Paired with the expanded 12-team playoff field and the opportunities afforded by the universal designated hitter, more clubs were active in March than expected, setting up some interesting postseason races for the new season. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. 8,128 plate appearances. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Now that ZiPS and PECOTA have both released their projected standings for 2023 (ZiPS can be found here and here, and PECOTA here), here's a breakdown of some interesting points on which they agree, and where they differ. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. 11m ago. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. As for Oakland, it already traded Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. They'll have thump. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. . Mega Picker; . The loss of Gray takes away one arm that found success pitching in Colorado, but German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela continued to prove last season that they've figured it out. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. The pitching staff is worrisome. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. Weak offense. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. Put yourself out there. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter.